Archives: Geopolitics of Energy Initiative Articles and Op-Eds

Desperately Seeking "Defectors" to Make a Case for an Iran War

  • By
  • Flynt Leverett,
  • New America Foundation
  • and Hillary Mann Leverett
July 19, 2010 |

Coverage of Shahram Amiri's departure from the United States and his return to Iran has focused, rather superficially, on the question of whether he was kidnapped or defected and then changed his mind.  Frankly, we are more interested in what reports that the CIA tried to pay Amiri $5 million say about the current political and policy environment in Washington with regard to Iran-related issues.

What Serious Diplomacy Looks Like -- in Turkey

  • By
  • Flynt Leverett,
  • New America Foundation
  • and Hillary Mann Leverett
October 29, 2009 |

Turkey's prime minister, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, was expected to come to the White House on Thursday for a meeting with President Barack Obama. Erdogan's visit has now been postponed, and the decision to postpone comes on the heels of the Turkish leader's high-profile visit to Iran this week.

How to Press the Advantage With Iran

  • By
  • Flynt Leverett,
  • New America Foundation
  • and Hillary Mann Leverett
September 29, 2009 |

Tehran's disclosure that it is building a second uranium enrichment plant near the holy city of Qum has derailed the Obama administration's already faltering efforts to engage with Iran. The United States will now cling even more tightly to the futile hope that international pressure and domestic instability will induce major changes in Iranian decision-making.

A Road Map to Nowhere

  • By
  • Flynt Leverett,
  • New America Foundation
  • and Hillary Mann Leverett
July 1, 2009 |

This week, Barack Obama's Middle East peace envoy George Mitchell met in New York with Israeli Defense Minister Ehud Barak to begin discussing a potential "compromise" regarding the continued expansion of Israeli settlements in occupied Palestinian territory. Israel's continued settlement expansion has been at the top of America's Middle East agenda since Obama's Cairo speech in June, when he declared that "the United States does not accept the legitimacy of continued Israeli settlements."

'Extraordinary Amount of Wishful Thinking' by US

  • By
  • Flynt Leverett,
  • New America Foundation
  • and Gregor Peter Schmitz
June 15, 2009 |

Many in Iran and the West assume that Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's re-election was the product of fraud. American Iran expert Flynt Leverett told SPIEGEL ONLINE that the irregularities likely weren't as bad as in Florida in 2000. Now, the US has to make the regime an offer.

SPIEGEL ONLINE: Mahmoud Ahmadinejad scored an overwhelming victory in the Iranian presidential elections held on Friday. Are you surprised?

Ahmadinejad Won. Get Over It

  • By
  • Flynt Leverett,
  • New America Foundation
  • and Hillary Mann Leverett
June 15, 2009 |

Without any evidence, many U.S. politicians and “Iran experts” have dismissed Iranian President Ahmadinejad’s reelection Friday, with 62.6 percent of the vote, as fraud.

They ignore the fact that Ahmadinejad’s 62.6 percent of the vote in this year’s election is essentially the same as the 61.69 percent he received in the final count of the 2005 presidential election, when he trounced former President Ali Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani. The “Iran experts’” shock at Friday’s results is entirely self-generated, based on their preferred assumptions and wishful thinking.

Have We Already Lost Iran?

  • By
  • Flynt Leverett,
  • New America Foundation
  • and Hillary Mann Leverett
May 24, 2009 |

President Obama's Iran policy has, in all likelihood, already failed. On its present course, the White House's approach will not stop Tehran's development of a nuclear fuel program - or, as Iran's successful test of a medium-range, solid-fuel missile last week underscored, military capacities of other sorts. It will also not provide an alternative to continued antagonism between the United States and Iran - a posture that for 30 years has proved increasingly damaging to the interests of the United States and its allies in the Middle East.

The Age of Disorganization

  • By
  • Flynt Leverett,
  • New America Foundation
  • and Ian Bremmer
April 1, 2009 |

As states large and small struggle to cope with and find a way out of the current economic crisis, it is not too early to begin thinking about how the "Great Recession" will alter the world's politics. Countries that have the economic fundamentals and resilience to emerge relatively early from the crisis -- China, some Gulf states, Brazil, and India -- are also likely to emerge stronger politically.

Wrong on Russia

  • By
  • Flynt Leverett,
  • New America Foundation
  • and Hillary Mann Leverett
August 20, 2008 |

In the wake of Russia’s military incursion into Georgia, too many current, former, and aspiring U.S. officials are caricaturing the Russian state that was shaped and is still guided by Vladimir Putin as a revisionist aggressor. For Robert Kagan, John McCain’s neoconservative foreign policy adviser, as well as for long-time Democratic foreign policy hands Richard Holbrooke and Ronald Asmus, Russia’s actions in Georgia are comparable to Hitler’s invasion of Czechoslovakia in 1938.

US Economic Decline Top Issue

  • By
  • Flynt Leverett,
  • New America Foundation
  • and Hillary Mann Leverett, CEO, Stratega
June 16, 2008 |

The most important long-term strategic challenge facing the Gulf Cooperation Council is not the threat of Islamic extremism or the rise of Iran -- it is the continuing economic decline of the United States.

Ever since 1980, when Jimmy Carter, then president, first publicly committed the United States to use military force to defend the free flow of oil from the Middle East, the United States has been the region’s unquestioned hegemon. And ever since the GCC was formed in 1981, its members have relied on the United States as the ultimate guarantor of their security.

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